Visa Worst Day is over? Rebouncing from now onwards?

9th Oct (Thu) & 10th Oct (Fri) 2008 - worst days for Visa so far. Hitting all time low of USD47, dragged down by the macro economy outlook, and Financial Crisis, and panic selling.

However, 13th Oct (Mon) - beautiful rebound of 13%! back to USD58!

Only if i dare to grab some at USD47.... i will be happy man on 13th Oct :)

------------------

A good article from schaeffersresearch.com

http://www.schaeffersresearch.com/commentary/content/visa+inc+slips+on+2+price-target+cuts+/observations.aspx?ID=88371

10/10/08

Visa Inc. had a bit of a rocky morning, as the company was hit with 2 different price-target reductions. Ahead of the bell, Deutsche Bank analyst Christopher Mammone cut his price target and earnings estimate for both MasterCard and Visa. Specifically, Mammone maintained his "buy" rating for Visa, but cut his price target to $72 from $93, and slashed his 2009 earnings estimate to $2.75 per share from $2.91 per share. The analyst attributed the cuts to the potential onset of a global recession and its potential to affect consumer spending. Visa makes much of its profit through fees for each time a consumer swipes their card to make a purchase. The shares also fell victim to a price-target cut from Citigoup, which revised its 12-month estimate from $88 to $60.

On July 30, Visa reported that third-quarter net income came in at $422 million, or 51 cents per share. Adjusting for certain costs from litigation and other issues, net income came in at $457 million, or 59 cents per share. Analysts were expecting Visa to report 48 cents per share. Visa is slated to step into the earnings confessional once again on October 29.

Shares of Visa haven't had an easy time since they began trading earlier this year. In fact, from V's May high of $89.84, it has dropped 48% to find today's new low of $47. The equity has fallen under its 10-day moving average since early September. If the shares are able to make any progress on the charts, they could be hindered by this trendline, combined with resistance at the 56 region. The 56 area previously acted as a level of support, but has capped the security this week.

While the stock has recently received some negative brokerage action, it seems that analysts are still optimistic. According to Zacks, 11 analysts currently give the shares a "buy" or better rating, while there are 8 analysts in the bear camp, recommending "hold." Furthermore, V's average 12-month price target, according toThomson Financial, stands at $87.17, an 81% premium to the shares' current trading price. Any additional price-target cuts or downgrades from the bullish brokers could pressure these shares lower.

Near-term option traders seem to be rather optimistic toward the shares. Specifically, the October 60 call is the site of peak front-month open interest, with 6,304 contracts. The shares would need to rally more than 24% for this option to be in the money. Furthermore, put players have little reason to back away from their winning positions. The most popular October put contract is at the 67.50 strike. This option is 40% in the money. The high amount of out-of-the-money call open interest indicates that investors are expecting the shares to rally during the near term.

However, it seems option players are becoming less optimistic on the falling shares. During the past 10 trading sessions, the put/call ratio on the International Securities Exchange (ISE) soared. The ratio of puts to calls is higher than almost 92% of all those taken since the stock has been trading, indicating a shift toward more bearish sentiment.

In conclusion, investors concerned with Visa should keep an eye on the stock's progress at the 56 region. If the stock is able to gain any upward momentum, this level could be an important region of support. However, without any positive brokerage notes, the equity could continue to fall, and any unwinding of optimism could certainly pressure the shares lower.

** http://investmentaction.blogspot.com/2008/05/visa-v-investing-all-research-tools.html

Visa is for Serious Long Investors

Yeah, check this out folks! Presentation by Visa CEO, Joseph Saunders and Visa CFO Byron Pollitt @ UBS Global Financial Services Conference @ May 14, 2008.

It gives us a good insight of Visa Positioning and Outlook

Highlights @

Slide 6, Visa is rapid growing around the world

Slide 7, Visa is #1 payments network

Slide 8, for Visa Products and Services Differentiator with competitors like Mastercard, American Express, Discover.

Slide 14, for Visa Financial Strength Highlights

Slide 17, uninterrupted growth even during recession year of 1991 and 2001!

** Basically, it will be our shelter for rainy days and stormy economy ahead.































Source : http://library.corporate-ir.net/library/21/215/215693/items/293861/VisaUBS.pdf

Visa V Ticker Symbol Update - May2008

(1)
Visa Symbol :
http://quotes.nasdaq.com/quote.dll?page=charting&mode=basics&intraday=off&timeframe=1y&charttype=candlestick&splits=off&earnings=off&movingaverage=None&lowerstudy=volume&comparison=off&index=&drilldown=off&symbol=V&selected=V
Has been rocket down for the pass few days. More than USD10 missing!
But on monday 27th may 2008, looks like a morning star formation.
http://www.candlestickforum.com/PPF/Parameters/16_534_/candlestick.asp

(2)
Not sure what is happening to VisaWinners Blog
http://visawinners.blogspot.com/ was hacked?
http://visaglobalwinners.blogspot.com/ new sites?
Which is authentic? You decide yourself...
Lesson learned...becareful with your personal info and password.

(3)
New V resources
http://www.thestreet.com/quote/V.html?omorig=story&puc=tickerembedded
http://www.stockpickr.com/thestreet-symbol/V/#V

(4)
How to trade Pivot Points
http://docs.google.com/View?docid=dkrv4tr_63dwhmfbhr
http://modj97-predictwallstreet.blogspot.com/

(5)
BuySell Volume
http://datasvr.tradearca.com/arcadataserver/JArcaBook.php?Symbol=V&x=19&y=1

(6)
News
UBS Lifts Price Targets On Mastercard (MA) and Visa (V)
http://www.streetinsider.com/Analyst+Comments/UBS+Lifts+Price+Targets+On+Mastercard+(MA)+and+Visa+(V)/3596572.html

Visa (V) Investing - All the research tools, resources, sites you need!

** Bookmark/Subscribe/RSS this page, I will update often, because I am a Visa Investor :D **
Pls share if you have other good resource, dump the link at the comment of this page. I will update this posting. Tx.

Special Notes :
According to Briefing.com, next earning might be 28th July 2008, after market.
At http://www.briefing.com/GeneralContent/Active/Investor/TickerSearch/TickerSearchInvestor.aspx
type in Ticket Symbol : V, and you will see the statement by them.

Tools and Resources :

Visa Chart @ Google Finance
http://finance.google.com/finance?q=NYSE:V

Visa Discussion Forum @ Google Finance
http://finance.google.com/group/google.finance.717138/topics?hl=en

Stock Technical Analysis at StockTA.com on Visa (V)
http://www.stockta.com/cgi-bin/analysis.pl?symb=V&num1=3&cobrand=&mode=stock

Stock Technical Analysis at WindChart.com on Visa (V)
http://www.windchart.com/stockta/analysis?symbol=V&country=USA&cobrand=stockta

1 page view of Volume Summary of Visa ( V )
http://quote.barchart.com/quote.asp?sym=V&code=BAA&dwm=w
Watch out for the volume spike

Put Visa & MasterCard on the same chart and compare
http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=V#chart1:symbol=v;range=1d;compare=ma;indicator=volume;charttype=line;crosshair=on;ohlcvalues=0;logscale=on;source=undefined
You can add many other Technical Analysis ... like MACD...
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/cbuilder?ticker1=V:US

Financial Statement of Visa, Video on Visa
http://moneycentral.msn.com/investor/invsub/results/statemnt.aspx?symbol=V

Option Chain, Institutional Holdings Update @ Nasdaq.com
http://www.nasdaq.com/asp/Holdings.asp?mode=&kind=&timeframe=&intraday=&charttype=&splits=&earnings=&movingaverage=&lowerstudy=&comparison=&index=&symbol=v&symbol=&symbol=&symbol=&symbol=&symbol=&symbol=&symbol=&symbol=&symbol=&symbol=&symbol=&symbol=&symbol=&symbol=&symbol=&symbol=&symbol=&symbol=&symbol=&symbol=&symbol=&symbol=&symbol=&symbol=&FormType=&mkttype=&pathname=&page=holdingssummary&selected=V

Volatility Chart Analysis for V Options Buyer
http://www.ivolatility.com/options.j?ticker=V:NYSE&R=1&period=12&chart=2&vct=

Open Interest - Call & Put Comparision
http://www.schaeffersresearch.com/streetools/indicators/equity_oi_config.aspx?TICKER=v

Event Calendar @ Briefing.com
http://www.briefing.com/GeneralContent/Active/Investor/TickerSearch/TickerSearchInvestor.aspx

Analyst Rating Comparison
https://www.sharebuilder.com/sharebuilder/Research/MarketUpdate/Analysts.aspx?Symbol=v
http://stocks.us.reuters.com/stocks/recommendations.asp?symbol=V

Visa News
http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/v?source=refreshed
http://money.cnn.com/quote/quote.html?symb=V

SEC Filing on V
http://secfilings.nyse.com/files.php?symbol=V

Other Visa Blogs
http://visawinners.blogspot.com/

General Investment Blog
http://wallastoninvestments.com/

Extra Current News :

S&P Market Scope Research Notes
2008-05-19 09:30:18.000 V
"Based on double-digit transaction and payment volume growth, we look for V, the world's largest retail electronic payment network, to grow its revenue 21% in FY 08 (Sep.). We are encouraged by growth trends outside the U.S., particularly in emerging market countries. We also favor V's high percentage of debit cards, as we believe, based on dwindling cash usage, that this is a high-growth segment. We look for EPS of $2.00 and $2.53 in FY 08 and FY 09, respectively. Our 12-month target price of $87 equates to 34.4X our FY 09 EPS estimate, a premium to peers.US V14234110808544"

Tradings Resources, Tools and Website

Favorite Software-based and Online Broker
ThinkOrSwim
Highly recommended. If you are seriously looking to fund your account.
Let me know ( email me shrimphead8118 @ gmail.com ), I will share half of the referral fees of USD50 with you, i.e. USD25 to you!
https://www.thinkorswim.com/tos/displayPage.tos?webpage=promotions

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E*TRADE
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fxcm.com
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Check these out sometime
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Businessweek.com - Businessweek.com
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Yahoo Finance - Yahoo Finance
Kable - Kable
Active Trader Magazine - Active Trader Magazine
Turtle Trader
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Harry Domash's Winning Investing - Mr. Domash is a writer for MSN Money.

MetaStock 10.0
http://www.equis.com/


Option Chain @ Schaeffersresearch.com
Eg Option Chain for Visa (V)
http://www.schaeffersresearch.com/streetools/options/option_montage.aspx?Ticker=V
Earnings.com
marketwatch.com

Mobile Stock Info Website

Yahoo Finance: wml/xhtml-mp
Content: Usability:

Bloomberg: xhtml-mp
Content: Usability:

MarketWatch PDA: cHtml
Content: Usability:

StockPoint: cHtml
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StockCharts.com: cHtml
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Mobile Stock Software
Compare with Talking Stocks, TradeTrakker, Wall Street Raiders, Netropa Internet Receiver,
Personal Stock Monitor Gold Edition is the best!
http://www.personalstockmonitor.com/products.html

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Free content @
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Briefing TV
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Chart Analysis
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Favorite Forum
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http://forum.wealthacademyinvestor.com
http://www.traderji.com shrimphead
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